Monday, October 10, 2016

Nobel prize for contract Theory: simple meaning /Relevace for Cauvery Row/pay hike for academics and others

This year Nobel prize in economics has gone to Oliver Harts and Bengst Holmsstrom, the British and Finland economists for the research work carried out in the 70s and 80s on conract theory which has wide applicability from governance to constitution law. All of us  know real life events and incidents revolve around contracts and indeed all transactions depend on implicit or explicit contract: there are employment Contracts, credit contracts and insurance contracts and so on .you will concede that better contracts and improved institutions will go a long way in making the country strong.
Should providers of public services such as schools, hospitals or prisoners be publically or privately owned? Shoud teachers health workers and prison guards be paid fixed salary or should their pay be performance based?.There is no definite, unique or any conclusive answer. The economists raise this kind of questions and with the help of the theory attempt to find  the answer .
In this connection I would like to quote Keynes from memory:
The theory of economics does not furnish a body of settled conclusions immediately applicable to public policy;.It is only a method rather than a doctrine an apparatus of mind a technique of thinking which help the possessor to draw correct conclusions”
The Nobel laureates talk about the power of theory in real life situation .For eg, if the manger is rewarded  for his short term cash flow management  the long term heath of the company may be affected. Very recently it has been found that privately managed prisons are not efficient in the U S and they are thinking of bringing it under government domain.
CONTRACT THEORY HAS RELEVANCE FOR RESOLVIG CAUVERY WATER ISSUE AND PAY FIXATION FOR ACDEMICS

Given the compulsion I will read more in future.Right now I can make use of their frame work to see the politics and ABSENCE of  economics behind Cauvery issue. Why  karnataka does not want to come under the contract law and defy the constitutional law? Every contract involves some conflicts and they must be resolved by the established contract law history and some give and take in the agreement. But it is saddening to note all the canons of economics and the system of governance are thrown to the dustbin and the so called officers are keeping quiet .That rogue state wants to appropriate all the benefits in a federation  without being monitored by any neutral agency in contractual terms  ie they want an  inefficient outcome for the nation and no benefit at all to TamilNadu.This is against  economics, ethics and  will amount to dirty , divisive and destructive politics affecting the very stability of the society.
     This is what I have been telling for the last one month  . Now I have explained using  this framework in a better way.  why central government which is supposed to enforce the contract  and assist the highest court of the land  is also behaving like a litigant not bothered about finding solution .Like our manager it is also maximizing its capacity to mobilize the vote bank and desire to have competitive edge over congress ie . To play politics! They also do not want to listen to supreme court and get into any contractual obligations  .Extend this logic to all micro level contracts  in all markets .Will there be any economy ?It will be like a  full fledged disobedience movement against the economic integration of   the country,and the nation  will be plunged into chaos.I miss our former RBI governor now whose  world is in the realm of ideas
Before I conclude let me also apply the contract theory  to  the new pay scales .It is definitely a boon to the world of academics ie those who read teach and do rigorous research work not cut and paste pseudo stunt .But there are many for whom the scales and the compensation  when the theory is applied is an exorbitant  and their own conscience will prick  if there is one .There are empirical evidences to show that you can become Dean without even any [publication} not even writing letter to wife  AND EVEN WITHOUT TAKING A SINGLE CLASS  more sensibly and responsively  one can become Professor and attain the position of HOD .The recent surgical strike against the VC WHO HAD SUBMITTED  the bogus resume and the callousness of the screening and selection committee  and the gross irresponsibility of the great academicians   are the reminder that contract theory is hardly enforced and that merit need not be the only criteria for elevation to higher position.
This year Nobel prize in economics has more practical applicability. It is only ideas not vested interests which will rule in the long run   but in the long run we are all dead  as Keynes told.




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