Chowkidar remembers the people at election time without anything to boost of his own initiative :will God conspire now also ?

Will Modi get one more term ? if India had been a matured democracy,with sufficient economic literacy and political maturity ,it is easy to answer and say :he will be shown the door .But under the confused and media orchestrated and corporate engineered hype , and also the opposition not fielding a common candidate ,the chances are that the advantage is with the gentleman who now calls himself as the first chowkidar,exploiting all kinds of mean mentality and now he is equating that term  with patriotism.How can a PM who had enjoyed the power for 5 years and lived on pure lies ,can again and again resort to cheap political stunt without being conscious that he has become a laughing stock !

Can a chowkidar seen in the company of bad ,say sharing dais with the corrupt gentleman who had gone to prison and also striking alliance with the corrupt elements to the core ,to exploit the political vacuum left by a lady who herself  was also an embodiment of mega  corruption ,but ruled like a lioness and could become CM despite going to jail  be considered as the crusader of corruption and champion of development ?The democracy in India has gone too bad like a rotten egg which is also in demand just because there is no alternative to eat.

Having done more mischief and wounded the finer sensibilities of many, especially the ordinary people  he has thrown some doles –the official currency corruption on the eve of election ?He is the same person,who ,ignored the farmers’’ plight, virtually killed the economy by note ban and hastily implemented,this chowkidar has suddenly remembered election time; he seeks blessings to continue his task of propagating hate politics ,the divisive and destructive politics ,saffronising everything under the sun forgetting that India is a vastly  diverse and inherently a  complex country and can never be allowed to be shaped in the images of chowkidars  namely  the distorted Hindutuva India. As the last three assembly elections had thrown open some surprise if key states retaliate with reasoned and well balanced mindset their arrogance will be humbled .

Virtually there is nothing substantial to show as achievements .That is why this rhetoric of chowkidar and Nehru bashing and Raghul teasing .Last time the   Hindi heart land  showered boon and the alliance arithmetic also helped .with the divided opposition, congress almost reduced to a regional party in select states, but not willing to acknowledge it  and a few treating it as unwanted luggage , BJP in power has an  advantage , but there are many ifs and buts and pendulum can change any way when the D date nears; it will be one of the violent elections  ever fought.

Will chaos theory be at work ?

The only hope for those who do not want to give  a second innings  lies in the butterfly effect of demonetization ; will people remember at the time of voting ?True ,among the success lists he does not want to make any reference  to demo but they will justify it by statistics and a series of lies .When Economic survey and budgetary document were bristling with distorted facts can’t the event mangers  invent a different story  .

In the wake of demonetization  in key state assembly elections , he could easily win and  the suffering caused  to the people did not stand in the way from winning the elections , but  close on the heels of  RBI revelation that  99.3 % of demonetized notes returned to bank and the deepening employment crisis  must act as entry barriers for the second term .To what extent  the drastic measure of Demonetization  which we prefer to call as political thunderbolt   will impact 2019 election is a moot point ; it may or may not  be an election issue .I am not sure to what extent the affected  people remember  and recollect  the  loss of life and job , decline in growth and income  under the combined onslaught of  both demo and GST which virtually choked  the aggregate demand , and pushed the economy into a tailspin of recession.?

 Will the affected ones   remember  and recollect  the  loss of life and job , decline in growth and income .And whether  the collective memory convert  itself into  votes,against Modi, there is no guarantee. I must hasten to add  that Post- demonetization,  election in five assemblies  did not reveal any backlash to this populist measure which actually  caused real suffering to the informal economy and poor .? How will the poor dalit and middle class behave?will the trading and business community  which was most hit by the twin onslaught of demo and GST switch their loyalty  and help the congress or a variant of Third front ?what is happening to  core vote bank of BJP vote now ? what about the majority of the poor who  were  economically disabled  and the religious minorities ?

--on the other hand if there is a mass hysteria like post emergency  kind of  feeling and opposition combine , the common man  will be politically enabled to dethrone the Rama or Asoka  kind of ruler –the  56’’ chest tall leader who has thrived well on lies and more lies .will they work now ? I am not a an expert and astrologer and predicting the outcome of election is as difficult as judging a cricket match; till last ball is bowled one cannot say .In any case The PM has luck and many educated still believe him.That is the worst part of the narrative on the arrogant Paradoxical prime minister