will Modi get one more term ?Is there any residual role for Note ban to hit him at the time of election ?

Will Modi get one more term ? if India had been a matured democracy,with sufficient economic literacy and political maturity ,it is easy to answer and say he will be shown the door .But under the confused and media orchestered and corporate engineered hype , and also the opposition not fielding a common candidate ,the chances are that the advantage is with the gentleman who calls himself as the first chowkidar,exploiting all kinds of mean mentality and now he is equating with patriotism. Can a chowkidar seen in the company of bad ,say sharing dais with the corrupt gentleman who had gone to prison and also striking alliance with the corrupt elements to the core ,to exploit the political vacuum left by a lady who herself was also an embodiment of mega corruption ,but ruled like a lioness and could become CM despite going to jail be considered as the crusader of corruption and champion of development ?The democracy in India has gone too bad like a rotten egg which is also in demand just because there is no alternative to eat. Having done more mischief and wounded the finer sensibilities of many, ordinary people he has thrown some doles –the official currency corruption on the eve of election ?He is the same person,who ,ignored the farmers’’ plight, virtually killed the economy by note ban and hastily implementedGST,this chowkidar has suddenly remembered election time and seeks blessings to continue his task of propagating hate politics ,the divisive and destructive politics ,saffronising everything under the sun forgetting that India is a vastly diverse and inherently a complex countryand can never be allowed to be shaped in the images of chowkidars namely the distorted Hindutuva India. As the last three assembly elections had thrown open some surprise if key states retaliate with reasoned and well balanced mindset their arrogance will be humbled . Virtually there is nothing substantial to show as achievements .That is why this rhetoric of chowkidar and Nehru bashing and Raghul teasing .Last time the Hindi heart land showered boon and the alliance arithmetic also helped .with the divided opposition, congress almost reduced to a regional party in select states, but not willing to acknowledge it and a few treating it as unwanted luggage , BJP in power has an advantage , but there are many ifs and buts and pendulum can change any way when the D date nears; it will be one of the violent elections ever fought. Will chaos theory be at work ? The only hope for those who do not want to give a second innings lies in the butterfly effect of demo; will people remember at the time of voting ?True ,among the success lists he does not want to make any reference to demo but they will justify it by statistics and a series of lies .When Economic survey and budgeatary document were bristling with distorted facts can’t the event mangers invent a different story . In the wake of demonetization in key state assembly elections , he could easily win and the suffering caused to the people did not stand in the way from winning the elections , but close on the heels of RBI revelation that 99.3 % of demonetized notes returned t bank and the deepening employment crisis must act as entry barriers for the second term .To what extent the drastic measure of Demonetization which we prefer to call as political thunderbolt will impact 2019 election is a moot point ; it may or may not be an election issue .I am not sure to what extent the affected people remember and recollect the loss of life and job , decline in growth and income under the combined onslaught of both demo and GST which virtually choked the aggregate demand , and pushed the economy into a tailspin of recession.? By now Mr Modi must have realized that his unilateral political adventure namely demonetization with a sp ecific political agenda to paralyse the opposition and freeze the party fund read electoral transaction demand for money , though helpful initially, has proved to be political disaster and a kind of suicide, as none of the objectives he mentioned on that fateful day night has been realized and 99.3 % of the demonetized notes has returned ; the fake money component of black money no one talks about now ; the counterfeit new notes have appeared demonstrating that in any currency rearrangement, , this kind of money will continue to emerge unless and until security features are tightened and the administration show the demonstrable evidence of credibility, honesty and integrity to checkmate. Will the affected ones remember and recollect the loss of life and job , decline in growth and income And whether the collective memory convert itself into votes,against Modi, there is no guarantee. I must hasten to add that Post- demonetization, election in five assemblies did not reveal any backlash to this populist measure which actually caused real suffering to the informal economy and poor .? How will the poor dalit and middle class behave?will the trading and business community which was most hit by the twin onslaught of demo and GST switch their loyalty and help the congress or a variant of Third front ?what is happening to core vote bank of BJP vote now ? what about the majority of the poor who were economically disabled and the religious minorities ? -- .on the other hand if there is a mass hysteria like post emergency kind of feeling and opposition combine , the common man will be politically enabled to dethrone the Raja kind of ruler –the 56’’ chest tall leader who has thrived well on lies and more lies .will they work now ? I am not a an expert and astrologer and predicting the outcome of election is as difficult as judging a cricket match; till last ball is bowled one cannot say .